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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Avalanche came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 0:56 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 29, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 2.6 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (3 G), 2. Valeri Nichushkin (2 A), 3. Andre Burakovsky (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG31207010329
COLCOL011317314642

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(30)
    P. Dubois (16), B. Dillon (15)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:13
  2. WPG
    E. Svechnikov(4)
    J. Morrissey (16), P. Dubois (17)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:48
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(5)SHG
    D. Toninato (5), N. Beaulieu (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-0
    16:26

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(26)
    M. Rantanen (36), D. Toews (29)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    3:10
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(13)
    A. Burakovsky (24), M. Rantanen (37)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:20
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(27)
    V. Nichushkin (14), N. Kadri (43)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:17

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(15)
    D. Toews (30), C. Makar (36)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    3-4
    0:56
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(14)
    M. Rantanen (38), C. Makar (37)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-5
    12:13
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(28)
    V. Nichushkin (15), N. Kadri (44)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    3-6
    13:11

Penalties

WPG 20 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:53WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

2nd

  • 1:08WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 7:45COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 4:03COLMikko Rantanen · Delaying game2 min
  • 14:21COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min
  • 14:21WPGNathan Beaulieu · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 14:55WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 14:55WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:44WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 3rd 0:56 — COL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.26G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.18J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
1.73 G
All situations
6 G3.4
1.32 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
42
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
26
22
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
2
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-430.12134—23:49
4N. PionkD000+220.11330—23:10
81K. ConnorL101050.29110—22:04
2D. DeMeloD000-220.06220—21:38
5B. DillonD011+200.00420—18:17
88N. SchmidtD000-300.00130—17:45
25P. StastnyC000-310.180005617:22
80P. DuboisC022+170.5820126417:16
55M. ScheifeleC000-410.020222017:04
26B. WheelerR000-420.09000—16:51
17A. LowryC101-110.083005016:20
28N. BeaulieuD011-100.02022—13:14
22A. PoganskiR000010.02110—12:43
12J. HarkinsC000000.0010010012:35
71E. SvechnikovL101+130.14000—11:56
21D. ToninatoC011010.004104010:48
77A. BrooksC000000.0001010010:04
93K. VesalainenL000000.00010—07:15
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)42366.8573.39-2.6160:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).