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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-1. The Jets scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 5:20 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.2, COL 3.3; shots on goal were WPG 35, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 42 (.833), 3.7 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 4 A), 3. Erik Johnson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    E. Johnson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11307015135
COLCOL111318313742

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(9)PPG
    A. Copp (14), N. Pionk (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:56
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(12)
    E. Johnson (9), A. Burakovsky (11)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:20

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(11)PPG
    M. Rantanen (19), N. MacKinnon (26)
    slapxG 0.42win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:20
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(16)
    N. MacKinnon (27), G. Landeskog (20)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:28
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(12)
    N. MacKinnon (28), D. Toews (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:21

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)
    S. Girard (14), B. Byram (6)
    wristxG 0.09
    1-5
    12:17
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(13)PPG
    M. Rantanen (20), N. MacKinnon (29)
    wristxG 0.42
    1-6
    17:10
  3. COL
    B. Byram(5)PPG
    E. Johnson (10), A. Burakovsky (12)
    slapxG 0.11
    1-7
    19:49

Penalties

WPG 14 PIM·COL 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:36COLKurtis MacDermid · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Hellebuyck2 min
  • 6:45WPGBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 4:46WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 4:46COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 4:46WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 12:13COLJ.T. Compher · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

3rd

  • 1:18COLNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 5:39COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 13:55COLKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 16:39WPGBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 17:56WPGCJ Suess · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 17:56COLTyson Jost · Roughingdrawn by CJ Suess2 min
  • 19:03WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 19:03WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 19:03COLJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 5:20 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.42G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.42N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.23N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
3.21 G
All situations
7 G3.3
1.80 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.41 G
Power play
3 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG46%54%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
35
Shots on goal
42
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
3/4
14
Penalty minutes
16
15
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
3
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000-120.14100—24:14
44J. MorrisseyD000-130.22120—23:33
4N. PionkD011-220.06300—23:01
9A. CoppC011-220.380006022:38
55M. ScheifeleC101-250.642208321:01
27N. EhlersL000-120.29004—20:38
81K. ConnorL000-240.48000—19:52
80P. DuboisC000-230.292043619:10
17A. LowryC000000.000004217:51
5B. DillonD000-220.03104—14:59
64L. StanleyD000-110.03220—14:17
28N. BeaulieuD000-110.02020—13:51
87K. ReichelC000-140.23000011:47
71E. SvechnikovL000-200.00000—10:39
91C. PerfettiC000020.21100010:31
93K. VesalainenL000020.11010—10:11
21D. ToninatoC000000.070105009:05
73C. SuessL000000.00222—06:51
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)42357.8333.33-3.6760:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).