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Capitals at Red Wings
NHL

Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 17:09 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 27, DET 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 2. Ilya Samsonov (19 saves, .950), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    DET
    V. Namestnikov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0519213327
DETDET0111405120

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Suter(6)
    S. Gagner (9), V. Namestnikov (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    1:43
  2. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(11)
    L. Johansen (1), M. Irwin (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:53

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(23)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (22), N. Backstrom (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +42 pts
    2-1
    17:09
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(24)EN
    G. Hathaway (4), J. Carlson (24)
    snapxG 0.74win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:19

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:41WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 4:19DETMoritz Seider · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 11:57WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

3rd

  • 1:54DETGustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:10DETMoritz Seider · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:10WSHNic Dowd · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 15:10DETRobby Fabbri · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 19:54WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalWSH goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 3rd 17:09 — WSH 49% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.16M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.11P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.7 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsDET
2.82 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH59%41%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsDET
27
Shots on goal
20
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+140.24000—26:03
9D. OrlovD000000.01032—22:04
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.05130—21:10
92E. KuznetsovC112030.371102520:09
8A. OvechkinL202+271.19100—19:54
6M. KempnyD000-110.01410—19:52
77T. OshieR000020.351003318:08
73C. ShearyL000010.02000—17:01
43T. WilsonR000010.23104—16:34
19N. BackstromC011+130.191102516:29
26N. DowdC000000.003223314:12
62C. HagelinL000020.08100—13:48
21G. HathawayR011+110.04320—13:12
52M. IrwinD011+100.00100—12:33
22L. JohansenD011+100.01000—12:18
59A. ProtasL000010.030007110:56
24C. McMichaelL000000.00120—10:09
49B. LeasonR000000.00000—09:22
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)20191.9501.70+0.7060:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).