Capitals at Red Wings 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Washington Capitals

▸2

Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV NBCSWA, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lars Eller's goal at 12:53 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Zach Fucale stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Zach Fucale (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 3. Danny DeKeyser.

Three stars

★
Z. Fucale21 saves, 1.000
★★
D. Orlov1 G
★★★
D. DeKeyser

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	210	012	07	229
DET	011	04	06	021

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

D. Orlov(2)
E. Kuznetsov (12), A. Ovechkin (11)
slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
1-0
12:43
L. Eller(1)
N. Jensen (3)
wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
2-0
12:53

Penalties

8 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

19:46Tom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

2nd

5:56Evgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
8:46Moritz Seider · Interferencedrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
8:57Filip Hronek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
13:29Michael Rasmussen · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
15:42Connor McMichael · Interferencedrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
16:19Carl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

1:25Gustav Lindstrom · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Lars Eller, 1st 12:53 — WSH 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att DET

0 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.32 G
All situations: 0 G2.0; 1.52 G
Even strength: 0 G1.9; 0.70 G
Power play: 0 G0.1; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

57%43%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

29
Shots on goal: 21; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/4
Power play: 0/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 8; 17
Hits: 11; 15
Blocked shots: 8; 5
Giveaways: 8; 2
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Washington Capitals skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
74J. CarlsonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	2	0	—	24:13
8A. OvechkinL	0	1	1	+1	0	0.05	1	0	0	—	22:04
92E. KuznetsovC	0	1	1	+1	4	0.23	0	1	2	44	22:00
9D. OrlovD	1	0	1	+2	2	0.06	0	5	0	—	20:17
43T. WilsonR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.28	1	1	2	50	20:15
42M. FehérváryD	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	4	1	0	—	19:38
3N. JensenD	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	2	3	0	—	18:39
21G. HathawayR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	0	0	—	16:21
20L. EllerC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	1	0	0	56	16:14
2J. SchultzD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	—	16:06
57T. van RiemsdykD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	—	15:40
73C. ShearyL	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	100	14:43
62C. HagelinL	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	0	2	—	13:19
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	—	12:57
24C. McMichaelL	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	1	0	2	20	11:47
10D. SprongR	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	0	0	0	—	11:02
49B. LeasonR	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	—	08:27
59A. ProtasL	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	60	08:18

Washington Capitals goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
60Z. Fucale(W)	21	21	0	1.000	1.97	+1.97	60:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Oct 273@2OTFinal
Nov 112@0this game
Dec 313@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score