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Red Wings at Capitals
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
Final/OTTV NBCSWA+, BSDET·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 1:37. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 1:37 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were DET 25, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 2. Adam Erne (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Erne1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET071711011325
WSHWSH1131401001228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(8)PPG
    L. Eller (3), A. Mantha (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:05

2nd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(5)PPG
    C. Sheary (3), T. Oshie (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    4:00
  2. DET
    A. Erne(2)
    F. Hronek (2), V. Namestnikov (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:17

3rd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(2)
    A. Erne (3), P. Suter (1)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:03

Overtime

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(3)
    L. Raymond (4), M. Seider (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:37

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:23WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 17:18DETSam Gagner · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 19:56WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

2nd

  • 3:56DETDanny DeKeyser · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 10:39DETTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

3rd

  • 10:45DETMichael Rasmussen · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalDET goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 1:37 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.20A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.19T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.17T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.16H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.10H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsWSH
1.83 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET32%68%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
10
6
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011+230.12020—24:25
2N. LeddyD000+110.06010—23:55
53M. SeiderD011010.03010—21:41
65D. DeKeyserD000000.04102—20:12
71D. LarkinC101+110.112005319:02
11F. ZadinaR000030.22000—17:09
59T. BertuzziL000030.25000—16:53
23L. RaymondL011+110.08000—16:39
18M. StaalD000+110.01100—16:32
14R. FabbriC101+130.35210016:15
27M. RasmussenC000+120.211025315:51
92V. NamestnikovC011+110.010005015:47
24P. SuterC011+110.030006715:19
73A. ErneL112+210.19200—14:37
70T. StecherD000+120.07302—13:24
22M. StephensC000000.000107012:08
89S. GagnerC000010.02002010:54
48G. SmithR000000.00000—08:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(W)28262.9292.78+0.7861:36

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).