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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, BSDET·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Wahlstrom's goal at 16:07 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.2, NYI 3.4; shots on goal were DET 39, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.2 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (3 A), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G), 3. Ilya Sorokin (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee3 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET013013213239
NYINYI25111210526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(10)
    A. Lee (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:09
  2. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(12)
    M. Barzal (29), A. Pelech (19)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:07

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(28)PPG
    A. Lee (11), M. Barzal (30)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    11:39

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(7)
    K. Palmieri (11), J. Pageau (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:19
  2. DET
    P. Suter(13)
    F. Hronek (27), T. Bertuzzi (28)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    1-4
    13:25
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(29)
    A. Beauvillier (20), A. Lee (12)
    snapxG 0.22
    1-5
    14:07
  4. DET
    S. Gagner(8)
    J. Vrana (1)
    wristxG 0.08
    2-5
    15:18

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:12NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Holdingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 16:32NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

2nd

  • 10:39DETTaro Hirose · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 14:11NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom, 1st 16:07 — NYI 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.46Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.46B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.22M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.18M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.16O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.13K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · Goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
3.22 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET62%38%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
39
Shots on goal
26
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
20
6
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
20
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000+130.31100—28:07
71D. LarkinC000-170.363003325:32
59T. BertuzziL011-150.61100—23:39
23L. RaymondL000-230.2900010022:03
82J. OesterleD000+110.03010—21:56
15J. VranaL011030.36010—16:56
17F. HronekD011-200.01100—16:54
28G. LindstromD000-100.00110—16:39
8J. WalmanD000-130.08110—16:33
24P. SuterC101-130.191005515:35
27M. RasmussenC000-210.102002514:52
18M. StaalD000-210.00210—14:34
90J. VelenoC000-100.011004514:28
70O. SundqvistC000010.171003313:03
25T. HiroseL000000.00002—12:03
89S. GagnerC101+130.22010011:31
73A. ErneL000040.21300—11:11
46C. PearsonC000+110.2530010007:40
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)16133.8131.77-1.2340:00
39A. Nedeljkovic1082.8000.70-1.3015:44

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).