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Islanders at Red Wings
NHL

New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Final/OTTV MSG+, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Moritz Seider scoring at 3:33. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Moritz Seider's goal at 3:33 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 23, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Wahlstrom (2 G), 2. Givani Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Moritz Seider (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    O. Wahlstrom2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    G. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI131111801323
DETDET212160715430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(3)SHG
    J. Pageau (4), A. Pelech (3)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    2:45
  2. DET
    F. Hronek(2)
    A. Erne (4), M. Rasmussen (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:18
  3. DET
    S. Gagner(3)
    G. Smith (2), C. Rowney (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:37

2nd period

  1. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(6)PPG
    N. Dobson (5), M. Barzal (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:49
  2. DET
    G. Smith(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    13:19

3rd period

  1. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(7)PPG
    M. Barzal (6), Z. Parise (4)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    12:33

Overtime

  1. DET
    M. Seider(3)
    P. Suter (7), F. Zadina (5)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:33

Penalties

NYI 21 PIM·DET 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:15NYIAnders Lee · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 10:19NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Instigatordrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 10:19NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 10:19NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:19DETAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom5 min
  • 11:02NYIScott Mayfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 10:11DETSam Gagner · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 4:09DETGivani Smith · High stickingdrawn by Andy Greene2 min
  • 11:29DETMichael Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Moritz Seider, OT 3:33 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.25F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.17L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.16M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.11N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.11M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.06A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04G. Smith · Goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.01G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDET
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.60 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.12 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI35%65%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDET
23
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/3
Power play
0/3
21
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
7
17
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD011-120.20240—24:18
13M. BarzalC022030.080007024:16
3A. PelechD011030.05430—22:39
12J. BaileyR000-100.000005020:32
4A. GreeneD000-200.00000—19:57
24S. MayfieldD000-230.03012—19:47
44J. PageauC011000.004105718:47
27A. LeeL000020.342025718:39
25S. AhoD000010.22200—16:42
33Z. CharaD000020.07110—16:39
21K. PalmieriC000-100.17100016:30
18A. BeauvillierR000-220.25100—15:29
10A. CzarnikC000-100.080204313:56
11Z. PariseL011-100.010106013:36
20K. BellowsL000-210.09110—13:09
15C. ClutterbuckR101020.33410—12:21
26O. WahlstromR202-120.13111710010:33
17M. MartinL000000.00210—07:07
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(O)30264.8672.92-1.0863:15

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).