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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
San Jose Sharks
4
Final/OTTV NBCSCA+, ALT·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4 in overtime, Andre Burakovsky scoring at 0:41. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 0:41 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 31, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evander Kane (2 G), 3. Alexander Barabanov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Kane2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL1130231511531
SJSSJS152131900427

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    E. Kane(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:20
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(29)
    N. MacKinnon (44), G. Landeskog (30)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:38

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(17)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:57
  2. SJS
    E. Kane(22)
    T. Hertl (21), A. Barabanov (4)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    7:47

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(10)
    A. Burakovsky (19), R. Graves (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:18
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(10)
    B. Burns (22), M. Ferraro (16)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:32
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(19)
    N. MacKinnon (45)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    8:59
  4. COL
    N. Kadri(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    16:21

Overtime

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(16)
    C. Makar (33), M. Rantanen (30)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    0:41

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:05SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

2nd

  • 11:42SJSTomas Hertl · Delaying game2 min
  • 14:05COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 5:03SJSDylan Gambrell · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, OT 0:41 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.23R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.21R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.17L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.55 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.95 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
23
7
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+100.03120—27:16
7D. ToewsD000-160.16310—26:53
29N. MacKinnonC022090.581005024:18
96M. RantanenR112030.4310010023:30
92G. LandeskogL112020.160005623:04
27R. GravesD011+210.06122—20:23
22C. TimminsD000+200.00020—18:06
72J. DonskoiR000+110.23000—17:30
91N. KadriC101+120.070105415:40
13V. NichushkinR101030.42100—14:26
95A. BurakovskyL112010.20000—14:25
17T. JostC000-100.051007513:54
24P. NemethD000-200.00110—13:36
37J. CompherL000010.040106712:12
34C. SoderbergC000+110.0201010011:39
2D. RenoufD000-110.02000—08:15
41P. BellemareL000000.05000—07:40
44K. SherwoodL000000.00300—07:29
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)27234.8522.12-1.8860:28

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).