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Sharks at Avalanche
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 7-3. The Sharks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joonas Donskoi's goal at 16:15 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 39% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 30, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1916115330
COLCOL316413013742

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    R. Donato(3)
    K. Labanc (3), L. Couture (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:39
  2. COL
    J. Donskoi(3)
    E. Johnson (1), V. Nichushkin (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:15
  3. COL
    B. Saad(2)
    C. Makar (6), A. Burakovsky (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    17:01
  4. COL
    M. Rantanen(6)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (7), C. Makar (7)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    19:21

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    1-4
    1:32
  2. COL
    S. Girard(1)
    T. Jost (1), K. Sherwood (1)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    5:48
  3. SJS
    N. Gregor(2)
    D. Gambrell (1), T. Meier (4)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    7:44
  4. COL
    D. Toews(3)
    G. Landeskog (3), C. Makar (8)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    2-6
    13:30
  5. COL
    B. Saad(3)
    A. Burakovsky (3), N. Kadri (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    15:01

3rd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(3)
    R. Donato (2), K. Labanc (4)
    backhandxG 0.09
    3-7
    12:43

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·COL 20 PIM

1st

  • 18:26SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 0:17COLBrandon Saad · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 8:55SJSMatt Nieto · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 18:48SJSserved by J. Leonard · Bench2 min

3rd

  • 1:33SJSEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 6:15SJSEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 8:28COLErik Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 13:44COLRyan Graves · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 18:22COLRyan Graves · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 18:22COLRyan Graves · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:45COLJ.T. Compher · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Joonas Donskoi, 1st 16:15 — COL 39% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.25M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.20B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.17B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.43 G
All situations
7 G3.2
1.63 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
42
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
20
14
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
6
6
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-210.06100—23:00
65E. KarlssonD000020.11010—22:41
38M. FerraroD000-130.06120—21:43
44M. VlasicD000-220.03010—20:13
48T. HertlC000000.060204518:40
39L. CoutureC112+220.100109017:56
9E. KaneL000000.0022410015:55
7D. GambrellC011-210.000004715:28
51R. SimekD000020.02320—15:18
16R. DonatoC112+150.860104014:35
71N. KnyzhovD000000.00202—14:27
73N. GregorL101-240.26110—14:15
20M. SorensenL000-220.2910010013:40
12P. MarleauC000-200.000003813:15
62K. LabancR022+130.37200—13:12
28T. MeierR011-330.13000—13:04
83M. NietoL000-100.00102—12:39
43J. LeonardL000-200.00010—12:00
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk23212.9131.50-0.5034:12
31M. Jones(L)19145.7371.67-3.3325:47

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).