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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV NBCSCA+, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 13:13 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.3; shots on goal were SJS 21, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Philipp Grubauer stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS060807021
COLCOL213012111336

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:13
  2. COL
    C. Makar(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    13:13

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.50
    0-3
    18:21

Penalties

SJS 13 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:27COLCarl Soderberg · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 10:25SJSAlexander Barabanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:20SJSAlexander True · Trippingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 7:21SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 8:22COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 15:10SJSNoah Gregor · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 1:41COLPatrik Nemeth · High stickingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 9:38COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 9:38COLNathan MacKinnon · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Labanc5 min
  • 9:38SJSKevin Labanc · Fightingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 1st 13:13 — COL 69% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.50K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.20K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.16J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
1.30 G
All situations
2 G3.0
0.50 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS27%73%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.29 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
21
Shots on goal
36
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
9
Hits
9
19
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
2
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-130.09030—25:14
65E. KarlssonD000-120.02030—23:59
38M. FerraroD000000.00322—23:20
9E. KaneL000-130.18010—20:58
48T. HertlC000-110.050004820:29
71N. KnyzhovD000000.00110—20:23
94A. BarabanovL000-100.06112—19:15
39L. CoutureC000-130.372103316:53
44M. VlasicD000000.00020—15:09
28T. MeierR000030.21000—14:27
92R. BalcersL000000.09100—13:53
70A. TrueC000010.040223313:01
73N. GregorL000030.15022—12:40
12P. MarleauC000000.030005012:19
62K. LabancR000000.00105—11:13
82I. ChekhovichL000000.00010—10:55
16R. DonatoC000010.02000010:15
47C. JarosD000010.01000—10:13
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)35332.9432.46+0.4659:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).