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Devils at Sabres
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV MSG+ 2, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Pavel Zacha scoring at 1:17. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 1:17 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 40, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Carter Hutton stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    P. Zacha1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    C. Mittelstadt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD01511121311440
BUFBUF1111121900332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Sheahan(2)
    V. Olofsson (8)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:28

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(1)
    P. Zacha (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:27
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(1)PPG
    E. Staal (5), C. Miller (3)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    8:03

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(6)PPG
    N. Gusev (2), T. Smith (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:25
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)
    P. Zacha (7)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:45
  3. BUF
    S. Reinhart(7)PPG
    T. Hall (11), R. Dahlin (7)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    3-3
    15:30

Overtime

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(5)
    J. Bratt (5), T. Smith (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:17

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:17NJDDamon Severson · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 6:11NJDDmitry Kulikov · Slashingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 9:20NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 11:51BUFColin Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 17:01BUFBrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 2:58BUFTaylor Hall · High sticking double minordrawn by Miles Wood4 min
  • 14:14NJDTravis Zajac · High stickingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNJD goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, OT 1:17 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.29T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.24C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.22S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.17T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.13D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10R. Sheahan · Goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.09C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsBUF
4.54 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD72%28%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.41 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsBUF
40
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
14
6
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000010.04002—24:30
24T. SmithD022+110.10100—23:56
86J. HughesC000+180.991003620:53
76P. SubbanD000000.04000—20:42
21K. PalmieriC000030.27000019:08
13N. HischierC101+140.481125318:40
11A. JohnssonL000030.40130—18:05
70D. KulikovD000-100.00302—17:04
45S. VatanenD000+110.01100—16:42
37P. ZachaC123+230.42200016:05
63J. BrattL112+150.8000010014:41
22R. MurrayD000+200.00000—14:38
20M. McLeodC000020.323004513:51
97N. GusevL011040.15000—13:11
44M. WoodL101020.16010—13:04
14N. BastianR000020.01100—12:03
19T. ZajacC000010.250126311:02
17Y. SharangovichC000000.05000008:31
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)32293.9062.93-0.0761:14

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).