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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New Jersey Devils
▸3
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miles Wood's goal at 4:52 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 57% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were BUF 35, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Miles Wood (1 G), 2. Janne Kuokkanen (1 A), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Wood1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Kuokkanen1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF012212011235
NJDNJD1511517327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    Y. Sharangovich(6)
    D. Severson (8), T. Zajac (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:40

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Rieder(5)
    B. Montour (5), K. Okposo (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:13
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(2)
    C. Mittelstadt (4), B. Montour (6)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:10
  3. NJD
    S. Vatanen(1)
    J. Kuokkanen (7), R. Murray (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:39

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(9)PPG
    J. Bratt (10), P. Subban (11)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    4:52

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:30BUFCody Eakin · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 18:15NJDDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

2nd

  • 3:51NJDSami Vatanen · Interferencedrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 11:05BUFJeff Skinner · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 11:05NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 3:37BUFColin Miller · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 6:33BUFBrandon Davidson · Hookingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Miles Wood, 3rd 4:52 — NJD 57% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.26J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.19T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.19M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.18J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.18Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.16P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.11N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · Goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maltsev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD3 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
3.22 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF56%44%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
27
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
6
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-130.05430—24:07
26R. DahlinD000010.02200—22:19
23S. ReinhartC000020.19100020:13
33C. MillerD000020.10202—19:51
62B. MontourD022+100.00110—19:35
68V. OlofssonL000040.37100—18:02
88B. DavidsonD000-110.02422—16:48
10H. JokiharjuD000+100.00210—16:06
12E. StaalC000060.691006216:05
37C. MittelstadtC011010.170007116:03
21K. OkposoR011030.5510010015:41
15R. SheahanC000-210.041004315:28
53J. SkinnerL101020.14002—14:56
27C. LazarC000+120.352007312:54
4T. HallL000010.05100—12:07
13T. RiederL101+140.27000—12:01
20C. EakinC000+110.062127011:50
72T. ThompsonC000-110.19000010:38
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Johansson(L)27243.8892.91-0.0958:01

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).