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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 8:07 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 29, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 2. Colin Miller (1 G), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    S. Reinhart2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Miller1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11221106329
NJDNJD0806213227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    C. Miller(2)
    T. Hall (9), E. Staal (3)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:26

2nd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(4)
    M. Irwin (2), B. Montour (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:07
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(5)PPG
    J. Eichel (11), R. Dahlin (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    17:46

3rd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(3)
    J. Hughes (7), W. Butcher (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    0:40
  2. NJD
    P. Subban(1)PPG
    P. Zacha (3), J. Bratt (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +7 pts
    3-2
    16:44

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:36BUFCody Eakin · Broken stick2 min
  • 14:28BUFSam Reinhart · Slashingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min

2nd

  • 17:16NJDDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

3rd

  • 15:16BUFJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 8:07 — BUF 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.18P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
2.53 G
All situations
2 G1.6
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF66%34%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
3
3
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011+110.03020—21:43
33C. MillerD101010.07120—20:46
44M. IrwinD011+120.10310—19:54
19J. McCabeD000000.00220—19:29
3W. BorgenD000010.03010—19:14
26R. DahlinD011030.22210—18:24
20C. EakinC000-100.051125717:27
13T. RiederL000-110.07010—16:45
68V. OlofssonL000+110.10000—16:19
9J. EichelC011+110.001225015:56
21K. OkposoR000-110.1230010015:55
15R. SheahanC000020.031102515:53
27C. LazarC000010.452106315:38
23S. ReinhartC202+130.21112014:50
4T. HallL011+130.32000—13:27
53J. SkinnerL000040.38010—11:22
24D. CozensC000+110.08210010:54
12E. StaalC011+130.190008610:36
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)27252.9261.64-0.3660:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).