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Islanders at Devils
NHL

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV MSG+, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Devils scored first; the Islanders answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kieffer Bellows's goal at 5:10 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.6, NJD 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 29, NJD 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Kieffer Bellows (2 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 A), 3. Janne Kuokkanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    K. Bellows2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Kuokkanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1130927329
NJDNJD1611804228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(7)
    T. Smith (11), K. Palmieri (7)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:37
  2. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    17:58

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Kuokkanen(4)
    Y. Sharangovich (4), T. Zajac (7)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:04

3rd period

  1. NYI
    K. Bellows(1)
    M. Barzal (15), J. Eberle (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    1:59
  2. NYI
    K. Bellows(2)
    J. Eberle (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    5:10

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:48NJDMikhail Maltsev · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 9:36NYIAndy Greene · Hookingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 15:55NJDJesper Bratt · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

2nd

  • 8:28NYIAdam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:18NJDP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 15:38NJDserved by A. Johnsson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:24NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Kieffer Bellows, 3rd 5:10 — NYI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.29J. Kuokkanen · Goal · xG 0.28Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.23K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.15P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maltsev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maltsev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI49%51%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-110.01120—21:36
6R. PulockD000+210.02320—20:27
3A. PelechD000+320.23002—20:23
13M. BarzalC011+210.181004019:25
29B. NelsonC000030.301003319:23
44J. PageauC000-100.006006218:56
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00232—18:26
7J. EberleR022+250.50100—17:34
4A. GreeneD000000.00112—17:34
12J. BaileyR000-110.04010—16:18
18A. BeauvillierR000050.290005015:32
53C. CizikasC000010.043004714:55
20K. BellowsL202+230.35000—14:52
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.14300—14:47
8N. DobsonD000-100.00000—14:14
26O. WahlstromR101040.44200—11:54
17M. MartinL000000.00110—11:48
28M. Dal ColleL000-110.04110—05:56
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)28262.9292.67+0.6760:00

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).