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New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Wahlstrom's goal at 1:10 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYI 20, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Aaron Dell stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (28 saves, .966), 2. Oliver Wahlstrom (1 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    NYI
    O. Wahlstrom1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI080527220
NJDNJD0401619129

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    1-0
    1:10
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:51
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    2-1
    19:46

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:17NJDDmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 2:40NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 4:16NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min
  • 9:07NYISemyon Varlamov · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 11:11NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom, 3rd 1:10 — NYI 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.16A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.14M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.13D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Maltsev · On goal · xG 0.04W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maltsev · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maltsev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 1.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.92 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI50%50%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
20
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
10
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
23
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000000.01210—22:07
3A. PelechD000020.03020—20:52
6R. PulockD000020.13112—20:37
2N. LeddyD011+110.01010—19:47
4A. GreeneD011010.03020—18:27
13M. BarzalC011+110.660104218:24
27A. LeeL101+120.091002016:41
7J. EberleR000+110.22100—16:33
8N. DobsonD000+100.01010—16:28
29B. NelsonC000-100.820105516:25
12J. BaileyR000-100.0300010015:59
18A. BeauvillierR000-100.00100—15:59
44J. PageauC011+140.360424815:25
53C. CizikasC000010.092104615:20
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.09012—14:42
26O. WahlstromR101+110.12100—10:53
28M. Dal ColleL000+120.18100—09:07
17M. MartinL000010.01000—08:14
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)29281.9661.63+0.6360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).