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New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 2-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 19:00 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 28, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Scott Wedgewood stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Ty Smith (2 A), 3. Jack Hughes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Wedgewood28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Smith2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01006012028
NJDNJD2120804224

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    17:00
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:00

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:11NJDDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 16:23NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

2nd

  • 3:31NYIRoss Johnston · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min

3rd

  • 14:11NJDJanne Kuokkanen · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 1st 19:00 — NJD 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.24T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.19P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.17P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.14K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.12T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.10T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.60 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI58%42%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
24
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
6
5
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC000000.051007123:32
6R. PulockD000030.09120—23:08
8N. DobsonD000020.26100—22:22
3A. PelechD000020.06210—22:00
2N. LeddyD000-140.36000—20:21
27A. LeeL000020.190008319:40
29B. NelsonC000030.340002219:29
7J. EberleR000060.80010—19:14
44J. PageauC000-110.111206817:44
12J. BaileyR000010.0700010016:34
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00002—15:15
4A. GreeneD000020.03030—14:49
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.01500—14:11
53C. CizikasC000-110.161005014:00
28M. Dal ColleL000000.01000—10:49
17M. MartinL000000.04000—10:20
32R. JohnstonL000000.00402—08:49
18A. BeauvillierR000000.00000—07:16
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)24222.9172.17+0.1757:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).