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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV NBC, SN·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 5:13 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 26, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.4 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Casey Cizikas (1 G), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G), 3. Cal Clutterbuck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Clutterbuck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0607213226
NYINYI08311211530

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(12)
    J. Eberle (7), N. Dobson (9)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    5:13
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(8)
    O. Wahlstrom (5), N. Leddy (15)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:15
  3. NYI
    C. Cizikas(4)
    J. Pageau (7), A. Pelech (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    16:56

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(1)
    C. Lazar (2), C. Mittelstadt (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    5:41
  2. BUF
    C. Miller(3)
    J. Eichel (16), T. Hall (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:35
  3. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(3)
    M. Martin (4)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    12:57
  4. NYI
    B. Nelson(9)EN
    R. Pulock (10)
    wristxG 0.56
    2-5
    17:48

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:53BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

2nd

  • 3:07BUFCody Eakin · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 9:07NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 2nd 5:13 — NYI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.57C. Clutterbuck · Goal · xG 0.21B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.21J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.12M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 3.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF41%59%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-120.28030—22:29
26R. DahlinD000+110.02112—20:37
9J. EichelC011010.032004719:55
4T. HallL011030.30010—19:49
78J. BrysonD000-200.00120—19:16
33C. MillerD101+130.10300—19:12
55R. RistolainenD000-300.02500—18:52
24D. CozensC000-220.15000017:54
88B. DavidsonD000-200.00310—17:24
23S. ReinhartC000010.06020016:45
12E. StaalC000-210.01000815:15
37C. MittelstadtC011-120.181002515:03
68V. OlofssonL000-110.13000—13:58
27C. LazarC011030.201106713:36
53J. SkinnerL101-120.35100—12:29
13T. RiederL000-110.08010—11:44
20C. EakinC000-120.051027811:13
21K. OkposoR000-110.20000—10:11
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Johansson(L)29254.8622.60-1.4059:45

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).