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Islanders at Sabres
NHL

New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres

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New York Islanders
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
0
FinalTV MSG+, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 11:58 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 24, BUF 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Carter Hutton stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Pulock (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2100519324
BUFBUF090308020

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(6)
    N. Dobson (6), J. Bailey (6)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:43
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(6)
    R. Pulock (6), N. Leddy (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(7)EN
    J. Bailey (7), J. Pageau (4)
    wristxG 0.67
    3-0
    19:59

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:58BUFRiley Sheahan · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 7:32NYIAdam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min

2nd

  • 8:00BUFTaylor Hall · High stickingdrawn by Michael Dal Colle2 min

3rd

  • 12:24NYIAdam Pelech · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYI goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 1st 11:58 — NYI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.41V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.28J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.12R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.09T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBUF
3.02 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI35%65%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBUF
24
Shots on goal
20
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
22
19
Blocked shots
11
1
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD011+100.02110—24:25
6R. PulockD011+110.06050—21:37
24S. MayfieldD000+110.12040—21:20
3A. PelechD000+110.08104—20:43
44J. PageauC112+220.252005919:25
27A. LeeL202+230.740002517:08
13M. BarzalC000+120.260105017:06
12J. BaileyR022+210.04010—17:04
18A. BeauvillierR000+110.03100—16:31
7J. EberleR000030.29000—16:23
29B. NelsonC000020.260105615:58
4A. GreeneD000+120.06210—15:50
8N. DobsonD011+100.00010—14:27
26O. WahlstromR000+120.20010—14:11
28M. Dal ColleL000010.09020—11:59
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.47100—11:32
53C. CizikasC000000.001105811:02
17M. MartinL000010.01300—09:19
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)202001.0002.64+2.6460:00

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).