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Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV FS-SD, PRIME·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-4 in overtime, Ryan Getzlaf scoring at 1:59. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Getzlaf's goal at 1:59 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.9 goals below expected; Hunter Miska stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.6 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA112162712527
COLCOL0112132900433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:10

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:26
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    12:06
  3. COL
    S. Girard (12), N. Kadri (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    17:36

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    6:03
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:27
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    13:03
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    17:10

Overtime

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:59

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 9:42ANAIsac Lundeström · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 17:28ANAJacob Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 19:55ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 15:42COLAndre Burakovsky · High stickingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min

OT

  • 0:51COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Getzlaf, OT 1:59 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.18T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.17B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.45 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
67R. RakellR123050.27000—21:49
22K. ShattenkirkD112+140.09120—21:10
14A. HenriqueC022010.170105021:04
15R. GetzlafC101020.122305821:01
33J. SilfverbergR000-100.07000—20:41
4C. FowlerD011000.00020—18:54
53M. ComtoisL011+110.02210—18:22
28J. HakanpääD000-210.01810—18:11
7B. HuttonD000010.07210—17:37
61T. TerryR202+270.56000—17:18
32J. LarssonD000-110.01002—16:20
48I. LundestromC000-200.000223816:08
76J. MahuraD011+120.01130—15:38
43D. HeinenL000-200.00000—14:50
42J. MansonD000+120.02222—14:39
38D. GrantC000000.001203014:23
23S. SteelC011+200.001006013:19
49M. JonesL000000.00000—01:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)33294.8792.11-1.8961:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).