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Avalanche at Ducks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV FS-SD, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 9:05 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 33, ANA 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (32 saves, .970), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL013010110133
ANAANA171711315

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(1)
    A. Henrique (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:58

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(1)
    R. Getzlaf (3), J. Larsson (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:05

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(5)
    N. MacKinnon (6)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    14:46
  2. ANA
    H. Lindholm(2)EN
    C. Rowney (4), D. Grant (2)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    18:20

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:06COLBowen Byram · Trippingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 11:32ANATroy Terry · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 16:39ANADerek Grant · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 11:38COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 17:39ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 8:20ANAHampus Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 15:48COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 9:05 — ANA 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.41R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.13M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.13S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
3.31 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL82%18%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 1.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
33
Shots on goal
15
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
23
9
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+120.22300—25:09
7D. ToewsD000-140.23210—22:56
29N. MacKinnonC011040.702202922:52
92G. LandeskogL000030.563126722:47
96M. RantanenR101040.38000—22:41
49S. GirardD000-230.07222—21:21
4B. ByramD000-120.08012—18:32
91N. KadriC000-230.201006316:01
37J. CompherL000-100.031306415:46
5G. PaterynD000-110.05220—14:25
17T. JostC000010.08010014:22
95A. BurakovskyL000-110.26100—13:16
11M. CalvertL000-110.13200—12:01
22C. TimminsD000020.08020—11:28
13V. NichushkinR000-100.00110—11:26
20B. SaadL000-110.1500010010:51
41P. BellemareL000010.061006010:03
72J. DonskoiR000000.00100—09:05
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)14122.8571.36-0.6458:41

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).