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Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV FS-W, ALT2·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Gabriel Landeskog scoring at 1:38. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 1:38 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — COL 3.5, ANA 3.5; shots on goal were COL 32, ANA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A), 2. Hampus Lindholm (1 G), 3. John Gibson (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL1130311412332
ANAANA0181911100238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:56

2nd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:47

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +29 pts
    2-1
    6:20
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    7:42

Overtime

  1. COL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:38

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:59ANAHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 10:18COLMartin Kaut · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 16:21COLBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

2nd

  • 4:32ANAHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 13:09COLBrandon Saad · Hookingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min
  • 15:00COLTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 19:57ANAMaxime Comtois · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 8:31ANAHampus Lindholm · Ps covering puck in crease0 min
  • 8:59COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 10:45ANAserved by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, OT 1:38 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.25R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.24A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.05D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.05J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01
ANA2 G · 3.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
3.53 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.51 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL50%50%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
32
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011020.04240—25:41
8C. MakarD011+140.29100—23:48
29N. MacKinnonC000+140.661006422:19
96M. RantanenR101+120.30110—21:37
92G. LandeskogL112+260.893005721:02
49S. GirardD011010.02010—19:35
27R. GravesD000-200.00210—17:40
11M. CalvertL000020.16100—16:52
5G. PaterynD000-100.11020—16:44
37J. CompherL000010.083105514:50
4B. ByramD011+240.21000—14:28
91N. KadriC000-230.380006014:05
20B. SaadL000-210.081042513:07
13V. NichushkinR000-210.18400—13:05
17T. JostC000000.00002011:52
41P. BellemareL000000.001123811:39
72J. DonskoiR101010.1400010010:52
61M. KautR000000.00002—05:50
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)38362.9473.46+1.4661:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).