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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FS-O, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Ekholm's goal at 16:54 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 30, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Ekholm (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .967), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Ekholm2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1909012130
NSHNSH01221308233

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(9)
    B. Jenner (6), J. Roslovic (9)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:26

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(1)
    D. Fabbro (5), F. Forsberg (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:12
  2. NSH
    M. Ekholm(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    16:54

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:50CBJZach Werenski · Holdingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 17:40CBJJack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min

2nd

  • 5:08NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 17:24NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 9:30CBJSeth Jones · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 13:32CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 15:22NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Ekholm, 2nd 16:54 — NSH 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.46C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.14V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ54%46%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-140.22012—24:55
3S. JonesD000-210.06122—24:35
13C. AtkinsonR101-150.421005021:57
29P. LaineL000030.11100—20:26
38B. JennerC011040.132005620:26
96J. RoslovicC011-140.300123319:51
58D. SavardD000010.02310—19:51
71N. FolignoL000010.032424418:53
44V. GavrikovD000000.00020—17:25
15M. Del ZottoD000000.00120—16:27
28O. BjorkstrandR000030.13110—14:04
16M. DomiC000000.001005013:42
11K. StenlundC000000.000205012:15
53G. CarlssonD000+100.00010—11:14
42A. TexierL000010.010004010:50
20R. NashC000000.001008010:35
52E. BemstromC000-100.08000008:10
50E. RobinsonL000030.31100—07:56
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)33312.9391.65-0.3558:28

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).