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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 19:43 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — NSH 1.8, CBJ 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 32, CBJ 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Cam Atkinson (1 G), 3. Max Domi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Domi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01009013032
CBJCBJ191914322

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:43

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Jones (8), R. Nash (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:56

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    17:29

Penalties

NSH 0 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:19CBJScott Harrington · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 1st 19:43 — CBJ 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.38B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.28N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.14A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.08K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.08N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.00O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
1.80 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH56%44%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 1.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
32
Shots on goal
22
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
37
6
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-130.28100—23:16
4R. EllisD000-110.05010—21:30
57D. FabbroD000030.05000—19:27
24J. TinordiD000-120.06200—18:19
5M. BenningD000-220.02210—17:59
90M. BorowieckiD000-130.05310—17:37
23R. GrimaldiR000-130.12110—17:26
64M. GranlundC000-110.041106017:18
9F. ForsbergL000-200.00100—16:46
95M. DucheneC000-220.231006916:40
56E. HaulaL000010.041005816:26
11L. KuninC000-110.063005016:17
33V. ArvidssonL000-240.51010—15:35
19C. JarnkrokC000-130.2000010015:31
28E. TolvanenR000010.06200—14:17
21N. CousinsC000000.00100013:35
10C. SissonsC000020.052006712:45
47M. McCarronC000000.012003309:37
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)21192.9051.57-0.4359:39

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).