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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-O, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Predators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 5:48 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 30, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G), 2. Luke Kunin (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    L. Kunin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ11201503130
NSHNSH01319213335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    B. Jenner(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:24

2nd period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(1)
    E. Haula (1), M. Borowiecki (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:09

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(1)
    B. Richardson (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:48
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(1)EN
    R. Grimaldi (1), R. Josi (1)
    wristxG 0.67win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:27

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:33NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 10:05CBJOliver Bjorkstrand · Trippingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 19:52NSHNick Cousins · Interferencedrawn by Dean Kukan2 min

3rd

  • 12:03CBJMax Domi · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 15:34CBJAlexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 3rd 5:48 — NSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.67L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.49V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.18N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.13R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
1.61 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ36%64%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
35
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
20
1
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000040.20100—25:50
3S. JonesD000030.14120—25:33
44V. GavrikovD000-120.05310—20:17
58D. SavardD000-110.01100—19:49
18P. DuboisC000-110.022006318:30
25M. GrigorenkoC000-130.15010018:28
28O. BjorkstrandR000-130.18002—17:08
42A. TexierL000-110.011022016:27
38B. JennerC101020.262006916:09
52E. BemstromC000+110.09320014:46
20R. NashC000010.070104614:19
71N. FolignoL000-110.032105014:18
13C. AtkinsonR000-210.11020—14:02
16M. DomiC000-110.081125012:57
15M. Del ZottoD000-140.08020—12:51
19L. FoudyC000000.02100012:25
46D. KukanD000-100.00020—12:07
50E. RobinsonL000010.09000—10:06
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)34322.9412.39+0.3958:33

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).