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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 14:31 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were LAK 28, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (27 saves, .964), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Jonas Brodin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    C. Talbot27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0708113128
MINMIN3160608330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:33
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:31
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    15:36

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.26
    1-3
    17:10

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:06MINMarcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

3rd

  • 1:16LAKOlli Maatta · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 4:06LAKTrevor Moore · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 5:41MINNico Sturm · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 7:49MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 12:36LAKTobias Bjornfot · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 1st 14:31 — MIN 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.71M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.26K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.25M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.24N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.00C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
1.81 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK25%75%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-120.20100—27:22
6O. MaattaD000010.02102—20:39
33T. BjornfotD000-110.04222—19:05
11A. KopitarC000-120.180105718:55
23D. BrownR000-230.07000—18:49
77J. CarterC101+120.280106718:34
19A. IafalloL000-200.00000—17:58
3M. RoyD000010.01210—17:20
26S. WalkerD000-110.02210—17:11
13G. VilardiC011+130.201106116:54
9A. KempeR000010.02100—16:06
22A. AthanasiouC011010.01000015:59
10M. AmadioR000-120.030006012:31
91C. GrundstromR000020.45010—12:20
56K. MacDermidL000-110.07010—12:11
46B. LizotteC000-120.072004011:51
27A. WagnerL000-120.06210—11:28
12T. MooreL000010.08002—10:55
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)30273.9003.38+0.3857:30

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).