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Wild at Kings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Minnesota Wild
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
2
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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Moore's goal at 19:59 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 38% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 24, LAK 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Adrian Kempe, 3. Cam Talbot (40 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot40 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1617211424
LAKLAK111020111242

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(20)
    J. Spurgeon (12)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:44
  2. LAK
    T. Moore(8)
    G. Vilardi (10), S. Walker (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(21)PPG
    V. Rask (10), K. Fiala (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:41

3rd period

  1. MIN
    N. Sturm(8)
    N. Bonino (12), C. Soucy (15)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    11:19
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(11)
    D. Doughty (25), T. Bjornfot (5)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    15:17
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(15)EN
    R. Suter (16)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:50

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:04MINNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 6:03LAKBlake Lizotte · Hookingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
  • 14:02MINVictor Rask · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

3rd

  • 11:51LAKMikey Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 17:37MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Moore, 1st 19:59 — LAK 38% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.17A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.15T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.11A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.08D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.04D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.73 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN37%63%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
24
Shots on goal
42
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD011+100.00020—23:58
25J. BrodinD000010.01122—22:57
24M. DumbaD000-110.08120—22:43
20R. SuterD011+110.04020—22:02
14J. Eriksson EkC101010.343105017:57
17M. FolignoL000010.04400—16:58
97K. KaprizovL202+160.83120—15:28
49V. RaskC011+110.260023315:02
13N. BoninoC011000.001003614:55
36M. ZuccarelloR000+100.08100—14:52
18J. GreenwayL000-110.02100—14:31
38R. HartmanR000010.115103814:31
22K. FialaL011020.14100—14:26
90M. JohanssonL000010.18000—14:17
28I. ColeD000+100.00100—13:26
7N. SturmC101040.261223813:11
21C. SoucyD011+110.01220—12:28
11Z. PariseL000020.29100—10:18
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)42402.9523.20+1.2060:00

Season series

MIN leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).