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Wild at Kings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
3
Final/OTTV FS-N, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 3:47. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 3:47 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 27, LAK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G), 3. Dustin Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN160122712427
LAKLAK1721401201334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(1)
    K. Kaprizov (1), G. Pateryn (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:06
  2. LAK
    J. Carter(1)
    A. Kopitar (1)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:57

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Athanasiou(1)
    J. Carter (1), M. Roy (1)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:12
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(1)PPG
    A. Iafallo (1), A. Kopitar (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    17:05

3rd period

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(1)
    K. Kaprizov (2), M. Dumba (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:15
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)
    R. Suter (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +30 pts
    3-3
    9:42

Overtime

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(1)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:47

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:17MINMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 1:42LAKMark Alt · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 5:33LAKKale Clague · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 6:09MINKevin Fiala · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 7:36LAKDustin Brown · Holdingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 10:24LAKserved by M. Luff · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:11MINJonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 18:32LAKBlake Lizotte · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 5:38MINMarcus Johansson · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 19:00LAKOlli Maatta · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 3:47 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.51A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.34A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.18D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.14O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.13M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.06M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03M. Alt · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Alt · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.84 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
22
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
8
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000+210.15110—28:09
25J. BrodinD101+120.10002—25:25
20R. SuterD011010.03010—23:10
24M. DumbaD011050.34102—22:33
97K. KaprizovL123+320.20100—21:52
22K. FialaL000-170.97212—21:12
11Z. PariseL000+120.260002521:11
13N. BoninoC000-110.051006518:13
90M. JohanssonL000-100.00102—17:29
27N. BjugstadC000010.05100013:27
14J. Eriksson EkC000+120.193004213:21
18J. GreenwayL000+100.00200—13:06
21C. SoucyD000000.00110—12:49
29G. PaterynD011000.00110—12:39
17M. FolignoL101+120.32400—11:56
49V. RaskC101+210.091002010:54
38R. HartmanR000000.000206710:23
7N. SturmC000000.00200008:10
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)34313.9123.12+0.1263:47

Season series

MIN leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).