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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
0
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 6:14 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 28, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.1 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01031206328
COLCOL08011015034

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(6)PPG
    W. Karlsson (8), A. Pietrangelo (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. VGK
    A. Tuch(7)
    M. Stone (13)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:14
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(6)
    W. Karlsson (9), N. Hague (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:06

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:50COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 2:32COLConor Timmins · Trippingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

3rd

  • 3:18VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 7:23COLBowen Byram · Interferencedrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 18:20COLMatt Calvert · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 18:20VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 2nd 6:14 — VGK 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.39N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.13P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL0 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
2.03 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011+140.09010—25:22
27S. TheodoreD000+110.02012—23:02
23A. MartinezD000000.07050—19:19
89A. TuchR202+120.29200—18:48
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.11330—18:47
20C. StephensonC000+110.110004218:25
71W. KarlssonC022+120.060102018:09
61M. StoneR011+100.00100—17:31
81J. MarchessaultR101+120.15000—17:17
67M. PaciorettyL000030.1700010016:35
9C. GlassC000020.060103815:11
52D. CoghlanD000+110.07020—14:50
14N. HagueD011+120.13120—14:45
19R. SmithR000020.13000—14:42
10N. RoyC000+120.220006714:23
55K. KolesarR000010.051007511:09
28W. CarrierL000000.00300—10:00
75R. ReavesR000030.22312—08:05
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)343401.0002.35+2.3560:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).