Skip to content
Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, SN1·Edgewood Tahoe Resort

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alec Martinez's goal at 7:37 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 29, COL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.5 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Devon Toews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0818113229
COLCOL11711319339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(2)
    N. MacKinnon (13), M. Rantanen (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:58

2nd period

  1. VGK
    A. Martinez(1)
    J. Marchessault (7), A. Pietrangelo (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:37
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)
    D. Toews (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    11:18

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(4)
    N. MacKinnon (14), M. Rantanen (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    13:11
  2. VGK
    A. Tuch(5)
    Z. Whitecloud (3)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    14:25

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:03VGKMark Stone · High sticking double minordrawn by Mikko Rantanen4 min
  • 18:40VGKserved by K. Kolesar · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:18VGKWilliam Carrier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:44VGKChandler Stephenson · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 10:44COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 16:15COLJoonas Donskoi · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 17:44VGKAlex Tuch · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 18:09COLAndre Burakovsky · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 1:59COLNazem Kadri · Trippingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 2:37COLCale Makar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Alec Martinez, 2nd 7:37 — VGK 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.39N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.13M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK38%62%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-240.15020—26:51
7A. PietrangeloD011-230.06120—26:43
23A. MartinezD101030.21220—24:56
71W. KarlssonC000010.010005720:29
67M. PaciorettyL000-150.150106019:04
61M. StoneR000-140.34004—19:03
20C. StephensonC000010.151025018:32
19R. SmithR000010.15010—17:14
81J. MarchessaultR011020.031103316:54
14N. HagueD000+100.02100—14:36
89A. TuchR101+120.24002—14:02
2Z. WhitecloudD011+110.02100—14:02
9C. GlassC000+100.050004613:21
22N. HoldenD000010.08110—10:45
55K. KolesarR000+100.12400—09:52
10N. RoyC000-100.002003308:12
75R. ReavesR000-110.01410—07:31
28W. CarrierL000-100.01502—07:24
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)39363.9232.47-0.5358:29

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).