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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBC, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andy Greene's goal at 13:12 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 26, PHI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Thomas Greiss (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Josh Bailey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss16 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2101917426
PHIPHI060307016

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:27
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:12

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.36
    4-0
    13:42

Penalties

NYI 9 PIM·PHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:31NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 15:33PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Josh Bailey2 min
  • 19:06PHIJakub Voracek · High stickingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 3:28PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:19NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Fightingdrawn by Scott Laughton5 min
  • 5:19PHIScott Laughton · Fightingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau5 min
  • 6:27NYIBrock Nelson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:48PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Andy Greene, 1st 13:12 — NYI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.27J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.17J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI0 G · 1.9 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
3.83 G
All situations
0 G1.9
2.73 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI68%32%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
16
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
37
Hits
41
22
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011+200.00340—23:41
3A. PelechD000+200.02320—21:34
24S. MayfieldD101+210.26230—20:17
2N. LeddyD000010.05030—19:58
13M. BarzalC000+150.520103618:11
7J. EberleR011+120.27000—17:31
12J. BaileyR022+210.07000—17:07
4A. GreeneD101+110.06230—16:58
29B. NelsonC123+340.440022016:42
18A. BeauvillierR101+310.51100—16:41
27A. LeeL000+120.310005016:29
25D. ToewsD011+130.10110—15:19
53C. CizikasC000010.003103615:12
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.08500—14:38
17M. MartinL000000.66700—12:36
44J. PageauC000000.007376411:18
10D. BrassardC011+120.16110011:12
28M. Dal ColleL000020.30200—10:42
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)161601.0001.88+1.8859:54

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).