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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Scott Laughton scoring at 12:20. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 12:20 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 32, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Bailey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI041921207332
PHIPHI0112111614432

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    1:20
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:45
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:32
  2. NYI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    15:46
  3. NYI
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +41 pts
    3-3
    17:19

Overtime

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    12:20

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:00PHITravis Konecny · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 13:27NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 19:35PHIDerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min

2nd

  • 1:20PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 0:50PHIScott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

OT

  • 7:55NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, OT 12:20 — PHI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.22K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.16D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.14S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.11C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.06M. Niskanen · Goal · xG 0.06P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
3.13 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI57%43%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
56
Hits
53
28
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000-230.16250—25:12
2N. LeddyD000-210.03340—24:47
6R. PulockD000-220.04600—24:32
18A. BeauvillierR000-130.30210—23:54
7J. EberleR011020.50010—23:23
12J. BaileyR022-130.15100—23:02
24S. MayfieldD011+210.06330—22:29
27A. LeeL000030.4741010022:20
29B. NelsonC101-130.403223522:12
44J. PageauC000-240.223205322:08
25D. ToewsD000+230.26100—22:01
4A. GreeneD000-200.00040—21:20
13M. BarzalC101010.251204319:52
53C. CizikasC011+100.007003816:20
15C. ClutterbuckR011+100.00800—14:05
17M. MartinL000000.00712—10:50
47L. KomarovR000-210.14310—10:04
10D. BrassardC101-120.112106009:09
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)32284.8752.65-1.3572:20

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).