Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 18:23 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 29, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (2 A), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G), 3. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Aube-Kubel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0707115129
PHIPHI19112211432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:23

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:34

3rd period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:55
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:28
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    4:54

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PHI 0 PIM

2nd

  • 2:00CARJoel Edmundson · Holding the stickdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 7:16CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Provorov, 1st 18:23 — PHI 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.32N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.29M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.20C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.17I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.11N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.08P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.04D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.31 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR39%61%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
29
Hits
26
3
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000040.11100—24:05
6J. EdmundsonD000030.09602—23:26
76B. SkjeiD000-220.14100—21:34
4H. FleuryD000-210.04310—20:03
20S. AhoC000-100.061004417:42
37A. SvechnikovR000-120.24200—17:03
88M. NecasC000-100.00000016:26
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.01200—16:02
11J. StaalC011+120.284004415:46
86T. TeravainenC000-220.240005015:08
51J. GardinerD000-120.06000—14:59
16V. TrocheckC000-330.142005714:45
18R. DzingelC000-120.47310014:23
14J. WilliamsR101040.17010—14:19
21N. NiederreiterR000-220.25200—14:14
23B. McGinnL011+100.00000—13:05
48J. MartinookL000000.012022211:44
13W. FoegeleL000000.00000—11:16
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)32284.8752.97-1.0360:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).