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Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 1:12 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 1.3; shots on goal were CAR 34, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 2.7 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (1 G), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G), 3. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01419011134
PHIPHI11005313428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:30

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:17

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:12
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    12:59
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:38

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:16CARJoel Edmundson · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 6:16PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

2nd

  • 1:08CARJake Gardiner · Holdingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 1:17PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 2:03CARJoel Edmundson · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 7:40PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 3rd 1:12 — PHI 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.20C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.13J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.12O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Twarynski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 1.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
3.01 G
All situations
4 G1.3
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR79%21%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20S. AhoC000-241.211004422:21
86T. TeravainenC000-140.18000022:04
22B. PesceD000-220.05010—21:30
19D. HamiltonD000-140.16100—20:47
74J. SlavinD000-130.04000—20:05
11J. StaalC000000.203106519:34
21N. NiederreiterR000-120.35010—18:36
71L. WallmarkC101020.262104017:09
51J. GardinerD000-210.01122—17:02
88M. NecasC011020.05210016:54
18R. DzingelC000020.10010016:42
57T. van RiemsdykD011+110.01000—15:40
6J. EdmundsonD000+110.03324—13:47
37A. SvechnikovR000-130.13200—13:41
13W. FoegeleL000-120.14000—12:44
23B. McGinnL000000.0010010010:54
29B. GibbonsC000010.04000008:13
4H. FleuryD000000.00010—07:09
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)28244.8571.34-2.6659:54

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).