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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
4
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Final/OTTV FS-CR, NBCSP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Dougie Hamilton scoring at 1:56. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.9, CAR 3.1; shots on goal were PHI 21, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dougie Hamilton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Gardiner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Gardiner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI281101300421
CARCAR216290711533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(13)
    R. Hagg (4), C. Giroux (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:37
  2. PHI
    M. Raffl(4)
    J. Voracek (26)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:57
  3. CAR
    L. Wallmark(9)
    B. McGinn (6), J. Martinook (8)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    9:40
  4. CAR
    W. Foegele(9)
    J. Staal (11), J. Gardiner (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    15:27

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Gardiner(3)
    S. Aho (15), W. Foegele (12)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    3:12
  2. CAR
    J. Edmundson(4)
    D. Hamilton (25), E. Haula (7)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:57
  3. PHI
    N. Aube-Kubel(2)
    K. Hayes (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    14:27

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(5)
    P. Myers (9), S. Couturier (23)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    15:49

Overtime

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(14)
    S. Aho (16), M. Necas (15)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    1:56

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:39CARErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 15:06PHITyler Pitlick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:54CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, OT 1:56 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.33S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.21A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.18D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.16J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.16L. Wallmark · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gardiner · Goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.94 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.94 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
6
17
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-100.00100—24:51
15M. NiskanenD000-100.12620—23:24
28C. GirouxR011010.170004221:12
6T. SanheimD101-330.15020—20:17
11T. KonecnyR101+130.43400—19:44
14S. CouturierC011+120.452107319:11
5P. MyersD011-200.02010—19:04
93J. VoracekR011010.12020—17:51
13K. HayesR011-100.002106716:38
53S. GostisbehereD000+320.16000—16:14
8R. HaggD011+300.02100—15:29
25J. van RiemsdykL000000.08200—15:17
62N. Aube-KubelR101010.05300—14:59
12M. RafflL101030.291104214:46
18T. PitlickC000020.57122013:57
21S. LaughtonC000-110.2630010011:01
49J. FarabeeL000-110.02100—10:21
24M. VorobyevC000-110.070006009:32
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(O)33285.8483.09-1.9161:56

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).