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Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCH, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 8-4. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 17:47 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were CHI 28, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 9 of 13 (.692), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nylander (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. Nylander2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2124729828
CGYCGY28114120442

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:30
  2. CGY
    D. Dube (9), M. Lucic (11)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:07
  3. CHI
    J. Toews (32), P. Kane (45)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    9:17
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    12:57

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    4:24
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    5:28
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    10:56
  4. CHI
    D. Strome (21), K. Dach (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    17:47
  5. CHI
    snapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    6-3
    18:14

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    6-4
    14:06
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    16:48
  3. CHI
    backhandxG 0.18
    8-4
    18:59

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:12CGYSean Monahan · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 13:30CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 15:15CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 14:12CHIJonathan Toews · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 6:21CHIKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
  • 7:54CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 12:17CHIOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 16:32CHIDrake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 16:32CGYElias Lindholm · Roughingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 2nd 17:47 — CHI 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.55A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.18M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.12D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.04B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
2.18 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.48 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI28%72%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
42
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
6
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
24
18
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+210.03020—21:39
68S. KoekkoekD011+310.01130—21:13
6O. MaattaD000+200.00012—20:27
5C. MurphyD011+120.04022—20:26
20B. SaadL101040.510005019:43
19J. ToewsC123+330.221127118:29
56E. GustafssonD011020.21010—17:53
88P. KaneR123+220.05100—17:21
22R. CarpenterC000+110.062001715:32
27A. BoqvistD000+200.00010—15:08
8D. KubalikL112+210.28000—14:46
12A. DeBrincatR101+110.12100—14:32
77K. DachC112020.27002014:24
64D. KampfC000+110.000002913:42
17D. StromeC011010.030006413:20
91D. CaggiulaL011+210.04002—11:04
36M. HighmoreC011+110.05000010:24
92A. NylanderL202+140.16000—10:08
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)42384.9053.44-0.5660:00

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).