Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olli Maatta's goal at 4:14 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 46% to 58%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.2, CGY 3.3; shots on goal were CHI 33, CGY 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 41 of 44 (.932); David Rittich stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (2 G, 2 A), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Kane2 G, 2 A

- ★★S. Bennett1 G

- ★★★D. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-04:14
2-05:35
3-012:44
2nd period
4-09:41
4-119:54
3rd period
4-215:30
4-316:48
5-319:59
Penalties
1st
- 5:01
Derek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
2nd
- 8:02
Zac Rinaldo · Chargingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
- 8:15
Patrick Kane · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
- 10:05
Mark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
3rd
- 13:32
Rasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Olli Maatta, 1st 4:14 — 46% → 58%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.21
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 44
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 11
- Hits
- 35
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 15
- Giveaways
- 16
- 13
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
