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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
5
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 6-5 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 2:30. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 2:30 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 24, VGK 52. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 46 of 52 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 2. Zachary Sanford (4 G), 3. Max Pacioretty (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    Z. Sanford4 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL391101500524
VGKVGK21411621517652

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(9)
    R. O'Reilly (40), A. Pietrangelo (32)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:25
  2. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(25)PPG
    M. Stone (34), S. Theodore (30)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    1:59
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(26)
    W. Karlsson (25), M. Stone (35)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    6:34
  4. STL
    Z. Sanford(10)
    R. Bortuzzo (4), D. Perron (32)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    9:41
  5. STL
    M. MacEachern(7)
    I. Barbashev (15), V. Dunn (10)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    15:43

2nd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(11)
    A. Pietrangelo (33), R. O'Reilly (41)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    5:13
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(19)PPG
    M. Stone (36), S. Theodore (31)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    18:59

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Schmidt(7)PPG
    W. Karlsson (26), A. Tuch (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    4-4
    6:33
  2. STL
    Z. Sanford(12)
    C. Parayko (13), V. Dunn (11)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    5-4
    11:45
  3. VGK
    A. Tuch(8)
    J. Merrill (5), C. Stephenson (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +39 pts
    5-5
    15:20

Overtime

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(20)PPG
    M. Pacioretty (29), M. Stone (37)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
    5-6
    2:30

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:50STLRobert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 2:36STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Deryk Engelland2 min
  • 16:34VGKJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

2nd

  • 14:55VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 14:55STLDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 18:03STLJordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

3rd

  • 5:02STLCarl Gunnarsson · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 9:34VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

OT

  • 1:26STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 2:30 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.23J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.20J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.17R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.16R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.08R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 4.8 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.55 G
All situations
6 G4.8
1.85 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.20 G
Power play
4 G1.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL18%82%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 4.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
52
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
4/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
44
Hits
49
21
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD022+310.04120—25:17
55C. ParaykoD011010.03140—24:41
72J. FaulkD000000.00230—21:13
10B. SchennC000020.109104420:17
4C. GunnarssonD000+100.00322—20:08
90R. O'ReillyC022+200.000204320:01
17J. SchwartzL000020.29202—19:45
57D. PerronL011+220.18302—17:24
12Z. SanfordL404+360.71210—16:21
21T. BozakC000+120.221005016:02
18R. ThomasC000010.160105015:39
29V. DunnD022+110.01210—15:26
20A. SteenL000020.35110—14:45
41R. BortuzzoD011+100.01422—14:35
49I. BarbashevL011000.004004313:10
9S. BlaisL000-100.00900—11:30
33J. KyrouR000+110.09004—07:53
28M. MacEachernL101+130.27010—06:47
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)52466.8854.84-1.1662:30

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).