Skip to content
Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 14:53 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 29, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.9 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (27 saves, .931), 3. Robert Thomas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK2130808229
STLSTL1831704429

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:52
  2. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:17
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:28

2nd period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:34
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    14:53
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    15:32

Penalties

VGK 0 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:49STLCarl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

2nd

  • 12:01STLAlex Pietrangelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 14:22STLJustin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 2nd 14:53 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.66A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.48J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.45J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.16A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09M. MacEachern · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 3.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
3.02 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK66%34%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
18
5
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000+130.27010—23:41
88N. SchmidtD011-220.23000—22:19
61M. StoneR011010.07000—19:31
67M. PaciorettyL101040.39100—18:38
81J. MarchessaultR000-240.28100—18:34
71W. KarlssonC000-200.130005318:21
89A. TuchR000040.37020—17:27
7V. ZykovL000020.21000—17:16
15J. MerrillD000+100.00000—16:59
3B. McNabbD000-210.06000—16:48
19R. SmithR000-210.23100—16:46
22N. HoldenD000-120.23310—16:14
5D. EngellandD000-100.00210—15:47
26P. StastnyC000000.001005715:38
20C. StephensonC011000.001006715:23
92T. NosekL000010.102006711:08
75R. ReavesR011010.0710010011:05
28W. CarrierL101030.32100—10:29
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)29254.8622.08-1.9257:56

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).