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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Final/OTTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4 in overtime, Chandler Stephenson scoring at 3:01. The Golden Knights came back from three goals down. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 3:01 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.3, VGK 2.5; shots on goal were STL 31, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nicolas Hague (2 A), 3. William Carrier (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Hague2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Carrier1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL3110131601431
VGKVGK0821221112533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(12)PPG
    D. Perron (25), R. O'Reilly (28)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    7:05
  2. STL
    J. Schwartz(14)
    D. Perron (26), R. O'Reilly (29)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:41
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(10)
    I. Barbashev (11), A. Steen (7)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    16:16

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Reaves(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.36win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    13:10
  2. VGK
    P. Stastny(11)
    W. Carrier (8), N. Hague (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    15:32

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(2)
    N. Hague (9), T. Nosek (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:02
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(16)
    C. Stephenson (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +31 pts
    3-4
    9:50
  3. STL
    D. Perron(17)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (23), R. O'Reilly (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    12:50

Overtime

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(8)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    3:01

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·VGK 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:29VGKDeryk Engelland · Elbowingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

2nd

  • 7:09VGKNicolas Hague · Roughingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
  • 7:09STLMackenzie MacEachern · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 7:09VGKMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
  • 7:09STLZachary Sanford · Roughingdrawn by Deryk Engelland2 min
  • 7:09VGKDeryk Engelland · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 17:10STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

3rd

  • 12:08VGKChandler Stephenson · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 17:49VGKMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 17:49STLDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 18:44STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, OT 3:01 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.36C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.26N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.23M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.15P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK5 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.34 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL47%53%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
33
63%
Faceoffs
37%
2/3
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
37
19
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD000-200.01160—26:13
72J. FaulkD000-120.14122—25:51
27A. PietrangeloD112-230.09230—24:58
90R. O'ReillyC033+130.311105222:02
10B. SchennC000-220.143006719:55
57D. PerronL123+130.16512—19:27
29V. DunnD000-230.05100—18:53
17J. SchwartzL101+130.22000—17:29
18R. ThomasC000-210.29102017:03
70O. SundqvistC101030.215008316:25
49I. BarbashevL011000.002107015:57
20A. SteenL011010.13110—15:39
21T. BozakC000-130.321208015:28
41R. BortuzzoD000+110.01110—14:33
46J. WalmanD000+110.03010—11:04
12Z. SanfordL000-200.00202—08:27
61J. de la RoseL000-210.201005007:48
28M. MacEachernL000-210.03102—07:15
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)33285.8482.46-2.5463:01

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).