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Rangers at Senators
NHL

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
1
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Ennis's goal at 1:11 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 31, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (30 saves, .968), 2. Anthony Duclair (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Borowiecki.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Duclair1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Borowiecki

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1901705131
OTTOTT21921604439

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(2)
    B. Tkachuk (6), A. Duclair (5)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:57
  2. OTT
    L. Brown(1)PPG
    J. Pageau (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    6:32
  3. NYR
    J. Trouba(2)
    R. Lindgren (4), T. Gettinger (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    17:20

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Ennis(6)
    C. White (3), C. Tierney (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:11
  2. OTT
    A. Duclair(10)PPG
    J. Pageau (6), T. Chabot (12)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    13:24

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:16NYRRyan Lindgren · Interferencedrawn by Maxime Lajoie2 min

2nd

  • 3:07OTTLogan Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 7:07OTTChristian Jaros · High sticking double minordrawn by Brendan Lemieux4 min
  • 11:29NYRFilip Chytil · High stickingdrawn by Ron Hainsey2 min
  • 13:01NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:40NYRJacob Trouba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:27OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 19:27NYRTony DeAngelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Chlapik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Ennis, 2nd 1:11 — OTT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.20C. White · On goal · xG 0.20B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.14T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.14C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.14T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08C. White · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.05L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Brown · Goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
2.21 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
31
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
21
6
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD000-120.34002—22:35
76B. SkjeiD000-160.32220—20:45
8J. TroubaD101060.10512—20:20
10A. PanarinL000-130.16000—19:13
23A. FoxD000050.29000—18:39
72F. ChytilC000-100.001022517:17
20C. KreiderL000000.190104416:59
16R. StromeC000-100.002004216:18
55R. LindgrenD011+120.03302—16:13
89P. BuchnevichL000-220.40000—15:50
48B. LemieuxL000-100.09200—15:41
24K. KakkoR000020.05000—15:20
17J. FastR000000.0010010015:07
25L. HajekD000-100.00020—14:39
21B. HowdenC000020.133005513:44
42B. SmithD000+110.06200—12:51
14G. McKeggC000+100.002005612:35
26T. GettingerL011+100.00100—09:51
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)39354.8972.97-1.0360:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).