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Rangers at Senators
NHL

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV MSG, CITY·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 9:53 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were NYR 30, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (2 A), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1928113430
OTTOTT110010012132

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(2)PPG
    C. Kreider (2), J. Trouba (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    6:04
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(2)
    T. Chabot (1), J. Pageau (2)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:14

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(3)
    P. Buchnevich (1), A. Panarin (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:53
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(4)SHG
    B. Smith (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    12:07

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(2)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (4), P. Buchnevich (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    2:51

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:37OTTNikita Zaitsev · Interferencedrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 15:46NYRPavel Buchnevich · Interferencedrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 19:43OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 2:44NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 10:18NYRChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:08NYRMarc Staal · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 1:56OTTColin White · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 17:52NYRChris Kreider · Holding the stickdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 2nd 9:53 — NYR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 1.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
2.04 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
30
Shots on goal
32
67%
Faceoffs
33%
2/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
37
22
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011050.12120—22:38
93M. ZibanejadC314+230.602108220:32
76B. SkjeiD000+150.13200—20:27
18M. StaalD000020.02272—19:34
10A. PanarinL112+120.31000—18:03
21B. HowdenC000-100.123006017:44
89P. BuchnevichL022+100.16002—16:34
77T. DeAngeloD000-130.09000—16:28
23A. FoxD000+120.02120—16:04
17J. FastR000-110.0421010015:56
42B. SmithD011+110.00310—14:47
25L. HajekD000010.04010—14:44
20C. KreiderL011020.08204—14:15
24K. KakkoR000000.00000—13:54
16R. StromeC000010.051107113:26
48B. LemieuxL000010.18220—13:06
90V. NamestnikovC000-110.01122011:32
28L. AnderssonC000+100.000202510:16
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)32311.9691.52+0.5260:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).