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Senators at Rangers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸6
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 6-2. The Rangers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ron Hainsey's goal at 4:12 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were OTT 30, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (32 saves, .941), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Pageau2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT21431016630
NYRNYR111112011234

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(3)
    A. Fox (2), B. Lemieux (3)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    0-1
    8:47
  2. OTT
    J. Pageau(4)
    A. Duclair (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    1-1
    14:56
  3. OTT
    T. Ennis(3)PPG
    T. Chabot (8), V. Namestnikov (4)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:31

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Hainsey(1)
    B. Tkachuk (4), M. Boedker (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    4:12
  2. OTT
    J. Pageau(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:43
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(4)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.31win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    14:56
  4. NYR
    A. Panarin(6)PPG
    K. Kakko (2), T. DeAngelo (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    17:34

3rd period

  1. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(5)PPG
    C. Brown (10), N. Paul (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    5:35

Penalties

OTT 22 PIM·NYR 36 PIM

1st

  • 4:39OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 8:19OTTJ.C. Beaudin · Fightingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo5 min
  • 8:19NYRTony DeAngelo · Fightingdrawn by J.C. Beaudin5 min
  • 13:43OTTMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 13:43NYRBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 17:17NYRRyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:17NYRJacob Trouba · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 17:17OTTAnthony Duclair · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 17:56NYRBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 2:11NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 8:30NYRLibor Hajek · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 12:00OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 16:46OTTFilip Chlapik · Boardingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 4:12NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 6:24NYRRyan Lindgren · Illegal check to headdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 7:02OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 13:04NYRBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:04OTTBrady Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 13:04NYRBrendan Lemieux · Misconductdrawn by Brady Tkachuk10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Ron Hainsey, 2nd 4:12 — OTT 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.26M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.20B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.15B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.14B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hajek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
4.56 G
All situations
2 G2.9
3.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.32 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT72%28%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.31 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/6
Power play
1/4
22
Penalty minutes
36
24
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
7
10
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011+110.05000—24:29
22N. ZaitsevD000+100.00030—21:34
28C. BrownR011-100.01100—20:51
81R. HainseyD101+220.15010—20:02
2D. DeMeloD000+100.02120—19:50
90V. NamestnikovC112030.21422017:50
7B. TkachukL112+361.124044017:05
63T. EnnisR101060.97010—16:41
71C. TierneyC000-120.200103116:36
44J. PageauC202+330.562325316:07
10A. DuclairL011+220.27102—16:05
26E. BrannstromD000+110.07010—15:41
13N. PaulL011010.622006915:40
74M. BorowieckiD000000.00235—14:38
9B. RyanR000010.07400—14:29
64J. BeaudinC000+110.121053608:38
89M. BoedkerL011+210.04000—08:07
78F. ChlapikC000000.0021210006:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)34322.9412.87+0.8759:42

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).