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Avalanche at Flames
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, ALT·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 14:25 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.1, CGY 2.0; shots on goal were COL 26, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.4 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0708011026
CGYCGY06213213432

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    14:25
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(1)PPG
    M. Giordano (1), E. Lindholm (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    18:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)PPG
    S. Bennett (1), R. Andersson (1)
    wristxG 0.06
    0-3
    17:01
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(2)EN
    M. Smith (1)
    wristxG 0.34
    0-4
    17:15

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:38COLErik Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:02CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 15:58CGYNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

2nd

  • 0:49CGYTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 10:05COLCarl Soderberg · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:37COLPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 5:08CGYOscar Fantenberg · Hookingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 16:36COLNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:05COLMatt Calvert · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 18:05CGYTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 19:52COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCOL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 2nd 14:25 — CGY 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.34M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCGY
2.10 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL61%39%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
32
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/4
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
36
18
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC000-150.571002425:04
92G. LandeskogL000-130.265226025:04
4T. BarrieD000-110.11130—24:41
96M. RantanenR000-110.05420—21:36
16N. ZadorovD000-100.05632—20:10
49S. GirardD000010.03120—19:07
6E. JohnsonD000-120.08212—18:15
13A. KerfootC000-110.07200017:31
28I. ColeD000010.07110—16:31
22C. WilsonC000010.04010015:39
34C. SoderbergC000030.280123815:30
18D. BrassardC000-130.233005513:45
12P. NemethD000000.00202—13:36
37J. CompherL000-210.012001412:59
83M. NietoL000010.02000—11:13
11M. CalvertL000000.001223309:54
17T. JostC000-110.010005007:57
57G. BourqueL000010.27200—05:24
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)31283.9031.62-1.3859:15

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).