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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, MSG·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in overtime, Ryan Strome scoring at 2:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 30, PIT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR1120122412430
PITPIT1140921402339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:36
  2. NYR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:49

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    2:28
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    12:34
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +40 pts
    3-2
    13:50
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    17:25

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:09

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

2nd

  • 0:30NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 3:20NYRRyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 5:23NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:14NYRLias Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, OT 2:09 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.26P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.20E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.16J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.14D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.13E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.12K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.04G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 3.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
2.34 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR25%75%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/0
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
0
37
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD101+130.17610—24:09
18M. StaalD000+230.23220—22:36
22K. ShattenkirkD011+200.06352—20:36
93M. ZibanejadC000020.211105720:33
33F. ClaessonD000+100.00400—20:23
44N. PionkD011-210.16210—19:49
21B. HowdenC000-110.100103718:51
90V. NamestnikovC112+240.3042010017:01
89P. BuchnevichL000030.18200—16:50
16R. StromeC101+120.190003316:35
20C. KreiderL000-120.091105015:48
26J. VeseyL000-100.00200—14:33
55R. LindgrenD000-340.19242—14:14
48B. LemieuxL000-100.00310—14:11
50L. AnderssonC000010.111026713:38
42B. SmithD101020.12312—11:02
23C. BrickleyL000+100.00100—09:05
24B. NievesC000+120.220001408:33
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)39363.9233.94+0.9462:09

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).