Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Aston-Reese's goal at 6:29 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 25, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 12 of 18 (.667), 4.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Murray (28 saves, .933).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals2nd period
1-06:29
2-011:11
3-012:20
3-112:46
4-115:45
3rd period
5-11:03
5-21:22
6-24:40
7-213:56
Penalties
1st
- 2:55
Sidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
- 12:48
Mats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
2nd
- 6:46
Jack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
3rd
- 3:16
Vladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zachary Aston-Reese, 2nd 6:29 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.27 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 2.16 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.60
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 35
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 10
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-1
7@
2this game
5@
6Final
5@
2Final
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
