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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teddy Blueger's goal at 13:12 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 36, NYR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Teddy Blueger (2 G), 2. Matt Murray (33 saves, .943), 3. Matt Cullen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Blueger2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Murray33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    M. Cullen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11331617536
NYRNYR21608011235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:25
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:15
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:41

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (61), P. Kessel (52)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    1:01
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:17
  3. PIT
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann (15), P. Kessel (53)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    7:38

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:58PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 0:27NYRBrady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 9:02PITJack Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 11:54PITPatric Hornqvist · High stickingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 15:05NYRBrett Howden · Holdingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 7:38NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Delaying game benchdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Teddy Blueger, 2nd 13:12 — PIT 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.27F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.14F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.11B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.09L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.03F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.03F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.03F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · Goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
2.85 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT54%46%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. SchultzD101-140.14110—21:36
28M. PetterssonD022+220.08102—20:54
59J. GuentzelC000-130.27110020:46
87S. CrosbyC011-100.030204820:04
44E. GudbransonD000+210.02200—20:03
17B. RustR011030.48300—19:53
8B. DumoulinD000+240.04220—19:43
73J. JohnsonD000020.02212—19:30
81P. KesselR022+110.10000—16:17
12D. SimonC011+120.22200016:16
27N. BjugstadC101+110.213007316:16
72P. HornqvistR000+110.10202—16:06
5Z. TrotmanD000+130.06010—15:54
19J. McCannL011+120.381105014:52
53T. BluegerC202+230.482104514:42
7M. CullenC101+120.100205009:56
10G. WilsonL011+100.00100—06:22
47A. JohnsonC000+120.13100005:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)35332.9432.56+0.5660:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).