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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 1:36 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 55% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 37, CAR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Petr Mrazek stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (36 saves, .973), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 3. Justin Faulk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Faulk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11209016137
CARCAR1101718325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    A. Greene(5)
    M. McLeod (3), P. Zacha (11)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:56
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(9)
    D. Hamilton (20), J. Slavin (23)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:03

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Faulk(10)PPG
    S. Aho (53), T. Teravainen (54)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    1:36

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(23)
    B. Pesce (22), J. Williams (30)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    16:35

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:20NJDKenny Agostino · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 20:00NJDAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

2nd

  • 2:32CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 8:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Drew Stafford2 min

3rd

  • 2:43CARAndrei Svechnikov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 2nd 1:36 — CAR 55% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.45N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.21W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.19S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.15J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.14J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.13M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD41%59%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
37
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000030.11210—25:04
17K. AgostinoL000-130.08102—21:36
20B. ColemanL000-150.51400—20:59
19T. ZajacC000-110.073005619:41
8W. ButcherD000-120.09110—18:54
5C. CarrickD000000.01320—18:50
16S. SantiniD000-130.03500—18:42
13N. HischierC000-130.271007318:03
6A. GreeneD101020.05222—17:42
37P. ZachaC011+110.061003317:27
44M. WoodL000030.19100—16:00
25M. MuellerD000010.01120—15:00
18D. StaffordR000+120.18000—13:40
49J. AndersonR000010.05000—12:57
42N. BastianR000-140.42200—12:32
58K. RooneyC000010.010004611:56
23S. NoesenR000-110.04200—10:32
41M. McLeodC011+110.01100009:30
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)25223.8802.59-0.4157:19

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).