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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 19:24 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 37, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mackenzie Blackwood (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Pavel Zacha (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood37 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    P. Zacha1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR013013011037
NJDNJD0911318230

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.36win prob +24 pts
    0-1
    19:24

3rd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.48win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:27

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NJD 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:36CARCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by John Quenneville2 min
  • 9:39NJDSami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 19:56NJDSteven Santini · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

2nd

  • 8:16CARCalvin de Haan · Hookingdrawn by John Quenneville2 min
  • 11:08NJDWill Butcher · Holding the stickdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 17:26NJDJohn Quenneville · Trippingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 8:11CARClark Bishop · High stickingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 12:24NJDSteven Santini · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 17:20CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 17:20NJDStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 2nd 19:24 — NJD 51% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Greene · Goal · xG 0.48P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.36P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.30B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.27B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.16T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.12D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.09P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05J. Quenneville · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Quenneville · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.30 G
All situations
1 G3.6
1.50 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR38%62%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
37
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
11
16
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000000.01330—23:47
20S. AhoC000040.520005022:37
27J. FaulkD000-210.04110—20:56
19D. HamiltonD000-230.17200—20:27
86T. TeravainenC000040.5600010019:51
44C. de HaanD000030.06124—18:37
22B. PesceD000010.13020—17:15
14J. WilliamsR000010.050006017:11
71L. WallmarkC000-210.012003616:17
79M. FerlandL000020.07100—15:52
48J. MartinookL000-150.131026714:38
23B. McGinnL000-110.03120—14:27
57T. van RiemsdykD000050.06020—13:28
64C. BishopC000000.004125013:03
13W. FoegeleL000010.13110—13:02
37A. SvechnikovR000-230.16220—13:02
49V. RaskC000-110.011006010:30
59J. KuokkanenC000010.15000008:41
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. McElhinney(L)29281.9663.10+2.1058:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).