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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸2
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV FS-SW, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 17:26 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 23, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (1 G), 2. Mark Giordano, 3. Miro Heiskanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1901014223
CGYCGY012010114136

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    A. Radulov(25)PPG
    R. Hintz (9), T. Seguin (43)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    17:26

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(11)PPG
    R. Faksa (13), M. Janmark (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    12:24
  2. CGY
    T. Brodie(9)
    J. Gaudreau (58), N. Hanifin (26)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    2-1
    18:28

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:19CGYAustin Czarnik · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

2nd

  • 2:48DALJason Spezza · Interferencedrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

3rd

  • 10:44CGYDerek Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 14:14DALRoman Polak · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 1st 17:26 — DAL 49% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.21M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.20T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Czarnik · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
1.42 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL29%71%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
19
27
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000000.00040—24:17
3J. KlingbergD000010.01110—22:35
4M. HeiskanenD101-110.10020—22:02
45R. PolakD000000.00332—21:14
91T. SeguinC011-140.222206220:27
47A. RadulovR101-130.28010—18:53
14J. BennL000-110.0830010018:48
16J. DickinsonC000000.00330017:16
15B. ComeauL000040.11100—17:05
21B. LovejoyD000-110.00030—16:25
12R. FaksaC011020.210003015:46
24R. HintzC011010.090202215:44
13M. JanmarkC011010.08010013:36
17A. CoglianoC000000.0023010013:05
2J. OleksiakD000000.01020—11:25
43V. NichushkinR000000.00100—11:15
90J. SpezzaC000030.160026408:36
37J. DowlingC000010.080005007:39
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop202001.0001.43+1.4333:22
35A. Khudobin(W)16151.9381.07+0.0726:30

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).