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Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW+, SNW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 17:17 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 24, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Ben Bishop stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ben Bishop (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Radek Faksa (1 G), 3. Esa Lindell.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Bishop21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0606012024
DALDAL11411202228

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:15

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    17:17

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:11DALTyler Seguin · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

2nd

  • 3:34CGYAlan Quine · Slashingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
  • 6:31DALBlake Comeau · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 9:53CGYGarnet Hathaway · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min
  • 18:32DALRoman Polak · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 4:12DALMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 2nd 17:17 — DAL 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.20E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.15R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.13B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.05R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hanzal · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.00M. Hanzal · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
1.80 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY44%56%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
23
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-130.24130—26:12
13J. GaudreauL000030.2000010026:00
19M. TkachukL000-200.07000—23:46
28E. LindholmC000020.071004223:22
55N. HanifinD000-130.11120—21:55
7T. BrodieD000-120.17110—21:01
24T. HamonicD000-140.07110—20:47
23S. MonahanC000000.111002720:24
11M. BacklundC000-210.051103317:35
27A. CzarnikC000-220.100003315:14
10D. RyanC000000.110008313:38
77M. JankowskiL000010.160105013:24
89A. QuineC000010.052025012:17
4R. AnderssonD000000.11000—11:16
21G. HathawayR000010.13312—10:00
58O. KylingtonD000000.00000—09:14
39K. RychelL000010.01110—08:52
6D. ProutD000000.00100—02:43
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)28262.9292.07+0.0758:20

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).